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James Arthur

Jan 1, 1970
0
MooseFET said:
Your 106% is completely bogus

Why? Congress spends every penny it gets, and then some.
We run deficits. Hence 106%.

Cheers,
James Arthur
 
J

James Arthur

Jan 1, 1970
0
Don said:
MooseFET wrote in large part:


I see too much government spending being of "productiveness" ranging
from as high as "somewhat subpar" to as low as "slightly more productive
than throwing taxpayer money into a bonfire".

That's pretty much how I see it.

To the extent money is usefully spent, it's grossly inefficient.
For example: the federal highway work rules that require flagmen
be paid something like $50 / hr. Which also raises the price
of private roads; citizens have to compete with the federal
government--and its payscale--for contractors.

And much of the money is spent on things that are positively
harmful to society, e.g. <dead horse> ethanol to fight agw
</dead horse>, and tobacco subsidies.


Cheers,
James Arthur
 
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James Arthur

Jan 1, 1970
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MooseFET said:
On Jun 24, 8:18 pm, John Larkin wrote:

This is only true if you can't find things with better returns.

It's hard to beat 50% tax-free zero-risk returns...

Cheers,
James Arthur
 
S

Simon S Aysdie

Jan 1, 1970
0
That is just too funny. So tell me when did you join this magic
priesthood that understands things that us "laypeople" don't.

Can you read? I never said in any way, or remotely implied, that I
had the time or tools (including skills) to do it. I also said I
didn't have any real reason to doubt what Krugman reported.

Yeah, you laypeople bantering about this crap like you know what you
are talking about amount to little more than the worst sort of
hacks.
No the criticisms are correct they just disprove your pet theory so
you refuse to believe them. They look at the real data that really
does exist and like any good scientist compare them to what the theory
predicts. Since they don't belong to the church of the Laffer curve
they can point out that the theories predictions don't come true.

The theory does not say that if taxes are lowered, revenues inexorably
go up. Interesting that someone who doesn't understand what Krugman
wrote, or the basic proposition, can pretend to call out the failings
of others' "pet theorys."
Yes it does if that data shows that what Laffers claim about the shape
of the curve is and its local slope is not the case.

Nothing Krugman wrote (*your* link) showed anything of the kind. All
he essentially said is "the data does no show the that the marginal
tax rates are on any downward section." (Which again implicitly
_acknowledges the concept itself_ by Krugman.) That would include a
more complex shape including local minima and maxima. I would like
you to show me where Laffer claimed "the shape" was _literally_ as you
claim he did. You can't because your goal is to make up a strawman
for the purpose of knocking it down. It seems you are not curious
about even knowing what the argument really is. It seems you are not
curious and imaginative enough to discover a few practical
difficulties in proving or disproving such an /a priori/ concept.

I find it amusing that your understanding of the Laffer's proposition
is as least as vulgar as those for whom you argue *against*:
"[T]he whole California gang had taken [the Laffer curve] literally
(and primitively). The way they talked, they seemed to expect that
once the supply-side tax cut was in effect, additional revenue would
start to fall, manna-like, from the heavens. Since January, I had been
explaining that there is no literal Laffer curve." -- David Stockman,
Reagan OMB director
If I say that E = I * R ^(3/2) a simple experiment that produces a
couple of numbers will show me to be wrong. This is what has happened
to Laffer. He didn't just say that there was a function he said that
he knew something about its shape. He has been shown to be wrong.

Oh cute. Analyzing a complex economy and the structure of governance
over it is comparable to running an experiment on some simple widget.
Who knew? Gosh -- thanks for the lessons on models and tests.

No, you don't understand the basic proposition, that's why you come up
with innapplicable "analogies." The crude tit curve he drew was not
intended to be taken so literally -- its purpose was didactic: to
illustrate a simple concept. It no more was a literal description of
some given tax-take situation than those cute little straight lines
describing supply-and-demand. In your view of economics, all can
apparently be known with a few literal drawings on napkins, and then
those proposition are _simply_ proven or disproven with a few _simple_
experiments. That's it -- then you're done. lol
Laffer claimed more than "there is a curve"

I don't believe you know anything about what he claimed.

I'm done.
 
M

mpm

Jan 1, 1970
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No, it's precisely how life works.


The point is moot. You inclination to be greedy is dampened by the
market. In fact, it would never occurr to you that the rustbucket was
worth much, so the competition kept you from getting greedy in the
first place.

That's how it works.




A business has to maximize profit to survive. Use whatever word you
like to describe that process.



No, that stupidity if the best offer is one million.

Which offer would you take, the $1M or the better one?




Playing with words again. The result is the same.





I run a business that profits and survives; I design things, price
things, build them, and sell them. I know how this game works.

John

Yawn....
 
M

mpm

Jan 1, 1970
0
Why? �Congress spends every penny it gets, and then some.
We run deficits. �Hence 106%.

Cheers,
James Arthur

It's an impressive feat that the same money, spent over and over
again, accumulates wealth.
I'm not sure anyone truly understands the process, however....?

I'm less concerned about government spending (at least in the above
regard) as I am about HOW is chooses to spend it. Especially at the
Federal level. I feel they spend on a lot of programs that would be
better off left to the States. Just my opinion. -mpm
 
K

krw

Jan 1, 1970
0
When marginal taxation hits 50% (as it does for my company) it becomes
more sensible to do things that reduce taxation, than things that are
productive. Trust me on that one.

And, as has been pointed out, optimizing tax rates to maximize revenue
isn't the proper function of a government, it's the best strategy for
a parasite.

The ludicrous part is when the higher tax actually lowers revenue.
The tragic part is when the politician (Obama, to point the finger
where it belongs) admits that the purpose of the tax is not to fund
government rather to *punish* (his words) success. The weenies all
believe that, he was just stupid enough to say it. ...and still
wasn't laughed back to Illinois, where he belongs (they deserve
him).
 
D

Don Klipstein

Jan 1, 1970
0

Specifically the defecit chart,

http://perotcharts.com/category/budget-deficit-charts/page/4/

This differs from Martin Griffin's cite by being lower by considering
the annual surplus by Social Security. Martin Griffin's cite shows bigger
deficits and lack of surpluses by excluding Social Security.

The SS-including annual deficit will soon change to being greater than
the SS-excluding annual defecit once enough Baby Boomers retire to eat
into the SS surplus.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])
 
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JosephKK

Jan 1, 1970
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"A Neocon is a liberal who has been mugged by reality."

John

Not even on a good day. Neocons are new age types that think they
know something about economics.
 
J

James Arthur

Jan 1, 1970
0
Don said:
Specifically the defecit chart,

http://perotcharts.com/category/budget-deficit-charts/page/4/

This differs from Martin Griffin's cite by being lower by considering
the annual surplus by Social Security. Martin Griffin's cite shows bigger
deficits and lack of surpluses by excluding Social Security.


I linked the spending chart 'cause it clearly shows the
hockey-stick: the skyward inflection point in spending
circa 2002.

The deficit interesting too of course, as a measure of
how well the government's books balance, but that's a 2nd
order effect.

First order is: a) how much are we spending and b) why?


Cheers,
James Arthur
 
J

JosephKK

Jan 1, 1970
0
When marginal taxation hits 50% (as it does for my company) it becomes
more sensible to do things that reduce taxation, than things that are
productive. Trust me on that one.

And, as has been pointed out, optimizing tax rates to maximize revenue
isn't the proper function of a government, it's the best strategy for
a parasite.

John

Are you (your company) at the 10M to 60M per annum trench?
 
J

JosephKK

Jan 1, 1970
0
I could subcontract all my manufacturing and purchasing to some
company (which I secretly own, or get kickbacks from) on some
Carribean island, let them sell me subassemblies at outrageous prices,
make very little money in the USA (where it's heavily taxed) and make
a lot of money there (where it's not.) Except that I hate hot weather.

I suspect this sort of thing is done all the time.

John

Yes, it is. And i would get in on it if i could. What you do is your
choice.
 
J

JosephKK

Jan 1, 1970
0
This is only true if you can't find things with better returns. It
also really proves little about where we are on the Laffer curve.


I agree but those who seem to want to claim to be conservatives are
making the argument about optimizing the income. They are the ones
doing the parasite's calculation. There is massive intellectual
sloppiness going on in their arguments. I am having great fun teasing
them. I'm sure that some are running a much higher blood pressure by
now.

I have elsewhere taken the argument on the side of changing over to a
VAT. It would be a better way to go in many ways. It would put back
the barrier that the tariffs did in the past so that jobs would be
more likely to stay in the US. It would make it so that businesses
always pay a tax on their inefficiencies. There is much to like about
a VAT.

In England, there is a bit of a side problem that I think nearly all
americans would object to the government has the right to come in and
look at the paperwork without notice. This includes entering your
home. Many americans would see this as a violation but it is
something that business owners in England have to put up with.

You are finally becoming interesting. How about promoting VAT
consistently instead of dodging all around most of the time?
 
J

JosephKK

Jan 1, 1970
0
I *know* that my business is on the downslope.



The worst things about VAT are that it's a compound hidden tax, and
that it adds complications all up and down the economy, and that
foreign manufacturers don't suffer from those complications. A
point-of-sale sales tax is simple and visible.
I suspect that you are trying to oversimplify.

What part of having a business being properly inspectable do you not
understand?
Legal fictitious entities must have NO rights except to buy, sell and
contract, excluding owning real property.. As opposed to the current
situation.
My business gets one or maybe two visits from government agencies per
year. The local fire department comes through once in a while to
spot-check sensors and make recommendations (very nice folks) and the
State Fund (disability insurance carrier) audits our worker
classifications every few years. All by appointment, not very
intrusive, no problems so far. We may have had a visit from the sales
tax people, and maybe from the Air Quality Board, about our chemicals
usage and venting, not many times per decade. I only hear about this
stuff by accident.

Residential, nobody can enter your house without a warrant from a
court, with specifics of what they're looking for, unless maybe it's
already on fire.

Actually, even then, you may prevent entry at the cost of fire or
police protection. (perhaps permanently)
 
S

Simon S Aysdie

Jan 1, 1970
0
More like $4M. California corp income tax is 10%, feds high 30's, and
there a bit more from the city.

There's also FICA, and disability, and unemployment payments, which
are based on payroll, not on profits, so have a different dynamic.
Ditto business license and property taxes. And San Francisco taxes all
equipment at 1% of original purchase price every year, *forever* until
you get rid of it. And the city also has a payroll/gross receipts tax,
whichever is greater.

Not to mention the voluntary stuff: salaries, vacation, sick leave,
bonuses, 401K, health, dental, beer, pizza, hot and cold spring water,
and all the office supplies people can steal. Of course we need
bookkeepers, CPAs, financial advisers, and a couple of lawyers to help
us control the whole mess.

No wonder so much stuff is built in China.

There is so much rude truth to that.

I think the services "of bookkeepers, CPAs, financial advisers, and a
couple of lawyers" are included in GDP calculations. (What they
apparently offer is an "end" good, or the cost is just embedded in
your price for your products.) It is another sad note and reason to
take guvmint reports with a few grains of salt. Of course, you need
most of that service just to meet bureaucratic guvmint demands -- it
adds absolutely no value to what you produce from the customers'
perception, but it allows the guvmint to inflate GDP. There is often
the comment that people "feel worse off, but they shouldn't if they
look at GDP." Maybe their feelings are just as good or better than
fancy guvmint statistics.

THere was that old political editorial cartoon a long time back. It
had a big crane holding up a giant 100 yd bolt. The crane had the
letters "soviet economy." The bolt had the letters "GDP." No one
wants an effing 100 yd bolt, but having one sure does make the GDP
look nifty. Lies, they are all lies. LOL. Saps like Paul Samuelson
fall for that crap. Its gotten so that trusting economists is as
treacherous a business as trusting politicians.
 
J

Jonathan Kirwan

Jan 1, 1970
0
Securities fraud is a bit different from stating an opinion about
climate dynamics.

Bingo. That's a more informed comment than the earlier one from you.
Debating science shouldn't be a crime

What a nice strawman that is. I happen to agree with you. So set 'em
up and we'll knock 'em down. But it doesn't change the rest.
any more than it should be a career-ending act for a scientist.

Debating science, among those also struggling for a comprehensive view
and in any case generally well-informed similarly on the same subject,
isn't career ending.

Note the difference between our two comments?

Doing an end-run around the vetting processes of science might get
your ears boxed a bit, though.

I liked this editorial:
http://pubs.acs.org/cen/editor/86/8623editor.html

Sums up things in short order.
What SOX has done is make a lot of accounts and lawyers a lot of
money, and made it impossible for medium-sized companies to go public.

I can't comment here as it appears to be more a business comment
without a clear thread of thought explained. I might agree with your
evaluation, if I understood the details of your thinking about it. But
I'm frankly mostly ignorant of SOX and its application for IPOs.

Jon
 
J

Jonathan Kirwan

Jan 1, 1970
0
SOX has to do with accounting, stock valuation, and "forward-looking
statements" that affect financial markets; it's there to protect
investors. It doesn't make it a crime to state an opinion about a
scientific matter, or to lie about your weight, or to say "I did not
have sex with that woman..."

This seems to be a more informed comment from you, than the earlier
one from you, from Richard Henry's. Richard Henry had said to me:

No need for a new law in the US. We already have the
Sarbanes-Oxley.Act, which penalizes CEOs personally for
corporate lies.

where you responded with:

Arresting people for telling lies presupposes that the AGW
theories and models are absolutely, unquestionably true, so
true that it is criminal to question them. This is the way
"science" works nowadays?

I find your new reply much, much better. Huge change. Thanks.

Jon
 
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Jim Yanik

Jan 1, 1970
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They wouldn't have started jumping up and down about it if we hadn't
detained so darned many of them without due process for years now.

Uh,POWs don't GET "due process".Why should "enemy combatants"?
It's NOT the same as civil criminal cases.
Claiming that the Geneva Convention doesn't apply to them based on
their not being "uniformed soldiers of a recognized government" is
also rather despicable,

No,it's not. Those combatants dont give OUR troops Geneva protections.
It's to DISCOURAGE such types of actions as terrorism.
IMO, in that even if the letter of the
convention doesn't mesh with the current circumstances, certainly the
original intent does.

Geneva's -intent- was to protect UNIFORMED soldiers,not terrorists.
you should read Andrew C.McCarthy on this subject.(Townhall.com,National
Review)He's a former Federal prosecutor,knowledgeable on the topic.
Even McCain agrees that the Geneva Convention
should apply, although I realize that, yeah, he is a bit of a RINO and
thus not someone you fully support... yet I suspect you'll still be
voting for the man in November. :)

Hell,yeah!
It's certain Obama is a leftist/Communist,inexperienced,and
untrustworthy,too. He has a lot of shady Commie/terrorist friends.
He would be destructive to US National security,he's anti Ballistic Missile
Defense,and has said he'd stop and cut back many military arms
programs,seriously weakening the US military.

And he doesn't support the Second Amendment,despite the lies on his
website.His voting record shows that.

People who vote for Obama are DUPES,useful idiots as the USSR called them.
 
J

Jim Yanik

Jan 1, 1970
0
Shoot 'em on the field I say, shoot 'em on the field ;-)

...Jim Thompson

It's certainly ridiculous to expect combat troops in the heat of battle to
collect evidence (and be available for court testimony) to support their
capture and detention of unlawful enemy combatants caught outside of the
US.

these people have NO idea of what they blindly advocate.
 
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